{
  "survey": "pew_w158",
  "heldout_question": "carbon_tax",
  "respondents": 100,
  "model": "openai:gpt-5.5",
  "twin": {
    "job_id": "f87aa97344addd4a",
    "rows": 100,
    "import_issues": 0,
    "metrics": {
      "probability_actual": 0.6901273409859892,
      "negative_log_likelihood": 0.5128655256254092,
      "brier": 0.32897896532969756,
      "top1_accuracy": 0.7620878319948163,
      "expected_calibration_error": 0.044600000000000015
    }
  },
  "conditional_baseline": {
    "model_label": "baseline:conditional-embedding",
    "model_type": "xgboost",
    "training_rows": 1000,
    "prediction_rows": 100,
    "negative_log_likelihood": 0.6983894402449312
  },
  "primary_comparison": {
    "metric": "negative_log_likelihood",
    "twin_minus_xgboost": -0.185523914619522,
    "confidence_interval_95": [-0.36950388420712393, -0.03431677419718181],
    "bootstrap_resamples": 2000
  },
  "leakage_audit": {
    "pair_count": 5,
    "flagged_count": 0
  }
}